Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:02:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b88…8f33
sports · 256 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
+$132,105 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$133,495 · open −$1,390
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4,946
Realized+$133,495
Unrealized−$1,390
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses134 / 120
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$20,115
Open positions3
Markets (closed)254 / 256
Avg bet$6,210
Trades / day153.9
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 3 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33,723
7 days+$38,224
14 days+$71,243
30 days+$133,495
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 44¢ 38¢ $4,400 $3,850 −$550 (-12%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Over 53¢ 30¢ $1,936 $1,096 −$840 (-43%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 51¢ 44¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-15%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $5,200 $0 −$5,200 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $3,780 $0 −$3,780 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 50¢ 0¢ $4,250 $0 −$4,250 (-100%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 42¢ 0¢ $333 $0 −$333 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card) Santiago Luna 46¢ 0¢ $4,600 $0 −$4,600 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $4,770 $0 −$4,770 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $4,590 $0 −$4,590 (-100%)
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $1,832 $0 −$1,832 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $2,230 $0 −$2,230 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $1,433 $0 −$1,433 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $3,290 $0 −$3,290 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals San Diego Padres 53¢ 0¢ $4,929 $0 −$4,929 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $999 $0 −$999 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $3,710 $0 −$3,710 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 54¢ 0¢ $6,750 $0 −$6,750 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 54¢ 0¢ $32,400 $0 −$32,400 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $3,031 $0 −$3,031 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $4,560 $0 −$4,560 (-100%)
Will US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $2,148 $0 −$2,148 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $7,300 $0 −$7,300 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays 54¢ 0¢ $4,968 $0 −$4,968 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $12,020 −$12,020 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,765 +$4,735 +171%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $6,579 +$5,246 +80%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $4,833 −$4,736 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6,900 +$3,100 +45%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $6,000 +$6,500 +108%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $3,080 +$4,620 +150%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 11 $4,071 +$5,929 +146%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $6,966 +$5,367 +77%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $17,191 +$11,105 +65%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $7,495 −$7,440 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $5,250 −$5,250 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $3,380 +$2,870 +85%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $5,200 +$4,800 +92%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $6,390 +$6,210 +97%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 11 $1,790 +$2,210 +124%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $5,674 +$4,326 +76%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $5,329 +$6,302 +118%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $4,875 −$4,800 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $6,919 +$6,158 +89%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $5,200 −$5,200 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $5,000 −$5,000 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $4,560 −$4,560 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 10 $6,604 −$6,604 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 10 $2,479 −$2,475 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $2,885 −$2,875 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $19,568 −$19,500 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 10 $6,750 −$6,750 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $6,952 −$6,890 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $6,477 −$6,477 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $6,250 −$6,250 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $6,469 −$6,375 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $6,872 +$6,048 +88%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 10 $2,371 +$1,589 +67%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $4,192 +$4,808 +115%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 10 $6,250 +$6,250 +100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $7,296 +$5,504 +75%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $6,880 +$5,920 +86%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $6,106 −$6,091 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $6,528 +$6,026 +92%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 10 $339 −$333 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $6,646 +$5,954 +90%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 09 $5,324 −$5,324 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 09 $8,700 −$8,700 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $6,572 −$6,477 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $11,800 +$8,200 +70%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $10,800 +$9,200 +85%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 09 $10,112 +$9,882 +98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 09 $112 +$108 +96%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 09 $1,991 −$1,961 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$101,938
other 11% +$42,186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $2,254 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $4 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $6 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $100 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $1 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $4 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $43 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $55 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $100 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $1,000 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $3 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $600 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $5 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $118 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $17 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $1 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $111 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $180 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $5 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $3 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 51¢ $5 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $4 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +4.7% -5.2% 54% 54% -4.1%
≤30d 254 +3.7% -6.2% 53% 53% -1.9%
≤90d 254 +3.7% -6.2% 53% 53% -1.9%
all 254 +3.7% -6.2% 53% 53% -1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 53% -1.9%
10% -15.2% 53% -11.3%
15% ← realistic here -23.4% 52% -19.8%
20% -30.9% 50% -27.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,946.12 · official $4,946.05 (match) · 3500 history records