Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:01:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b7d…2908
crypto · 136 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$120
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses125 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)130 / 136
History coverage7d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 6 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days−$19
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 93¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? No 98¢ 97¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$22
politics 6% +$2
finance 4% +$2
other 2% +$1
sports 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $15 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 -0.9% -10.4% 96% 0% -10.5%
≤30d 130 -0.8% -10.3% 96% 0% -10.4%
≤90d 130 -0.8% -10.3% 96% 0% -10.4%
all 130 -0.8% -10.3% 96% 0% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 0% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -19.0%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.8%
20% -33.9% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $119.95 · official $119.95 (match) · 269 history records