trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 40% | 20% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 42% | 8% | -8.2% |
| all | 25 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 48% | 4% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.5% | 4% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -19.1% | 0% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $32 | $32 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 27 | $54 | +$9 | +16% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 26 | $42 | −$1 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $25 | +$1 | +5% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 24 | $105 | −$5 | -4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $61 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $130 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 20 | $45 | +$4 | +10% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | May 20 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 19 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 19 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 19 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 02 | $20 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? | Sep 21 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025? | Jul 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 25 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? | Jun 24 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 18 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | Jun 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 15 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will FC Porto win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 14 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15? | Jun 14 | $4 | −$2 | -52% |