trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$31 | +149% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -85% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $6 | −$3 | -56% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $126 | +$5 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $288 | −$21 | -7% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 50% | 33% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 50% | 33% | -6.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 50% | 33% | -6.9% |
| all | 6 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 50% | 33% | -6.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -5.8% | 33% | -6.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -14.8% | 17% | -15.8% |
| 15% | -23.1% | 17% | -24.0% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 17% | -31.4% |