Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:56:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b67…5347
sports · 7 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$43 +56%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$30
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$30
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 44¢ 90¢ $20 $41 +$21 (+102%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Over 50¢ 100¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+99%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $11 +$9 +86%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $8 +$9 +105%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $8 +$6 +76%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $9 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 40¢ $10 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 53¢ $11 5h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 54¢ $11 6h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 56¢ $8 26h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 48¢ $8 26h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Under 50¢ $8 47h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $4 2d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +32.9% +20.2% 60% 60% +16.7%
≤30d 5 +32.9% +20.2% 60% 60% +16.7%
≤90d 5 +32.9% +20.2% 60% 60% +16.7%
all 5 +32.9% +20.2% 60% 60% +16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +20.2% 60% +16.7%
10% +8.7% 60% +5.5%
15% -1.8% 60% -4.7%
20% -11.4% 60% -14.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.67 · official $59.67 (match) · 13 history records