trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+12%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+12%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -55% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +235% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +49.4% | +35.2% | 67% | 50% | +34.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +43.0% | +29.4% | 71% | 43% | +28.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +43.0% | +29.4% | 71% | 43% | +28.7% |
| all | 7 | +43.0% | +29.4% | 71% | 43% | +28.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +29.4% | 43% | +28.7% |
| 10% | +17.0% | 29% | +16.3% |
| 15% | +5.7% | 29% | +5.1% |
| 20% | -4.6% | 29% | -5.2% |