Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b5e…1a93
crypto · 6 markets active 40d ago
0.5score
+$99,073 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$99,073 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$99,073
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage538d
Avg bet$73,349
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$1,766
30 days+$1,766
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Jun 04 $4,474 +$1,766 +40%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? Feb 01 $3,387 +$1,691 +50%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Feb 01 $2,500 +$4,333 +173%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 18 Jan 28 $1,520 +$480 +32%
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? Jan 17 $1,340 +$660 +49%
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Jan 01 $426,873 +$90,144 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$90,624
finance 1% +$1,766
world 1% +$4,993
other 1% +$1,691
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? BUY No 71¢ $2,698 40d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? BUY No 72¢ $8 41d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? BUY No 72¢ $1,769 41d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? BUY No 67¢ $2,890 135d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? BUY No 67¢ $200 135d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? BUY No 67¢ $19 135d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? BUY No 67¢ $226 135d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? BUY No 67¢ $32 135d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? BUY No 67¢ $20 135d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 18 BUY Yes 76¢ $1,520 145d
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? BUY No 65¢ $306 149d
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? BUY No 65¢ $295 149d
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? BUY No 65¢ $16 149d
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? BUY No 65¢ $16 149d
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? BUY No 65¢ $16 149d
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? BUY No 69¢ $690 150d
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? BUY No 36¢ $500 150d
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? BUY No 37¢ $2,000 150d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 95¢ $1,966 538d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 95¢ $8 539d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 95¢ $48 539d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 95¢ $22,281 539d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 95¢ $7,190 539d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 95¢ $198 539d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 95¢ $8,692 539d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 95¢ $2,919 539d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 92¢ $58 540d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 92¢ $25 540d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 92¢ $1,151 540d
Ethereum all time high in 2024? BUY No 92¢ $50 540d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+45.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +39.5% +26.2% 100% 100% +26.2%
≤90d 1 +39.5% +26.2% 100% 100% +26.2%
all 6 +60.8% +45.5% 100% 100% +10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +45.5% 100% +10.8%
10% ← realistic here +31.5% 83% +0.2%
15% +18.8% 67% -9.4%
20% +7.2% 17% -18.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 355 history records