trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +96.4% | +77.7% | 33% | 33% | -58.6% |
| all | 9 | +96.4% | +77.7% | 33% | 33% | -58.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +77.7% | 33% | -58.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +60.7% | 33% | -62.5% |
| 15% | +45.1% | 33% | -66.2% |
| 20% | +30.9% | 33% | -69.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1,047 | $274 | −$774 (-74%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $250 | $188 | −$62 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 31 | $17,647 | −$17,636 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 08 | $450 | −$450 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 07 | $3,566 | −$3,566 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 01 | $6,879 | −$6,839 | -99% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 20 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $80–$90 on April 8? | Apr 08 | $666 | −$510 | -77% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 07 | $888 | +$3,727 | +420% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 07 | $500 | +$4,722 | +944% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Apr 07 | $3,033 | +$2,395 | +79% |