Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:48:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8B 0x8b49…1674 crypto 1951 markets active 18h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (370 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$309 (-8%) realized −$309 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR64%break-even
Win rate74%1496W / 527L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day370.1pace
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,106
7 days−$978
14 days−$854
30 days−$854
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$411
other 16% +$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (370 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1592 -14.8% -22.9% 70% 58% -30.8%
≤30d 2023 -8.3% -17.0% 74% 64% -24.1%
≤90d 2023 -8.3% -17.0% 74% 64% -24.1%
all 2023 -8.3% -17.0% 74% 64% -24.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover370.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 64% -24.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 35% -31.3%
15% -32.2% 11% -38.0%
20% -38.9% 2% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -19% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -31% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$309
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1496 / 527
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2023 / 1951
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day370.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2023 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$7 -200%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$8 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$4 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$4 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$4 -200%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 20h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records