Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:39:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b2c…1521
crypto · 30 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$8 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses23 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day48.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -0.4% -9.9% 77% 60% -24.7%
≤30d 30 -0.4% -9.9% 77% 60% -24.7%
≤90d 30 -0.4% -9.9% 77% 60% -24.7%
all 30 -0.4% -9.9% 77% 60% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 60% -24.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 37% -31.9%
15% -26.4% 20% -38.5%
20% -33.6% 10% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 91 history records