Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:19:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b23…0448
crypto · 1787 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$245 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$244 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$656
Realized−$244
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1621 / 213
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1834 / 1787
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day390.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1834 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$166
7 days−$244
14 days−$244
30 days−$244
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$1 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1834 -1.4% -10.8% 88% 26% -11.8%
≤30d 1834 -1.4% -10.8% 88% 26% -11.8%
≤90d 1834 -1.4% -10.8% 88% 26% -11.8%
all 1834 -1.4% -10.8% 88% 26% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover390.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 26% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 9% -20.3%
15% -27.1% 3% -28.0%
20% -34.3% 1% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $656.04 · official $655.04 (match) · 3500 history records