Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:36:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b22…377e
crypto · 318 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$180 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$159 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$252
Realized+$159
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses246 / 66
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions6
Markets (closed)312 / 318
History coverage106d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 312 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$143
7 days+$194
14 days+$194
30 days+$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 1 Winner Washed 77¢ 100¢ $63 $82 +$19 (+30%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 64¢ 40¢ $68 $43 −$25 (-37%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 72¢ 72¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner MASONIC 73¢ 100¢ $27 $37 +$10 (+36%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner Washed 90¢ 86¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 78¢ 60¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-24%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner struggletony 86¢ 72¢ $15 $12 −$2 (-17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $81 −$49 -60%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $33 +$12 +35%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$3 -16%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $59 +$21 +35%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$32 -82%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $91 −$37 -41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $71 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $48 +$17 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $88 +$8 +9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $72 +$24 +34%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $69 −$50 -72%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $99 −$47 -47%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $54 +$21 +40%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $85 −$19 -22%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $57 +$32 +57%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $125 −$30 -24%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$6 +26%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $77 +$6 +8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$8 +17%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $46 +$13 +29%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $33 +$12 +35%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $48 −$3 -6%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$5 +11%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$3 -11%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $43 +$11 +27%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $65 +$6 +10%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $47 +$17 +35%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $46 +$23 +49%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $39 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $27 +$3 +11%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $93 −$32 -34%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $64 −$22 -34%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $57 +$35 +61%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $17 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $18 +$4 +24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $48 +$12 +25%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $38 −$7 -18%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $47 +$9 +19%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $41 +$22 +53%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $52 +$18 +36%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $32 +$15 +47%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $58 −$21 -36%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$5 +13%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $42 +$15 +35%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $21 +$9 +43%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$212
crypto 17% −$33
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 78¢ $5 2m
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner BUY struggletony 89¢ $5 2m
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner BUY struggletony 88¢ $4 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 84¢ $5 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 81¢ $5 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 72¢ $5 5m
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner BUY struggletony 82¢ $5 7m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 94¢ $5 8m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 93¢ $6 9m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 62¢ $6 15m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 89¢ $5 16m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 89¢ $5 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $6 18m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 64¢ $5 19m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $6 19m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 65¢ $5 20m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 60¢ $5 20m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner BUY Washed 84¢ $4 20m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 75¢ $5 21m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 60¢ $5 22m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 72¢ $6 23m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 75¢ $5 23m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 60¢ $6 25m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 66¢ $6 27m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $5 27m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $5 28m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 64¢ $6 30m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 82¢ $6 30m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 60¢ $6 32m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 71¢ $6 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +8.0% -2.3% 71% 57% -5.7%
≤30d 103 +8.0% -2.3% 71% 57% -5.7%
≤90d 103 +8.0% -2.3% 71% 57% -5.7%
all 312 +0.5% -9.1% 79% 40% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 40% -6.9%
10% -17.8% 29% -15.9%
15% -25.7% 16% -24.0%
20% -33.0% 8% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $251.54 · official $251.54 (match) · 1673 history records