Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b15…a031
sports · 693 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,016 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,880 · open −$135
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$62
Realized−$2,880
Unrealized−$135
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses375 / 314
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$111
Open positions2
Markets (closed)689 / 693
History coverage272d
Avg bet$129
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 2 History 689 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$863
7 days−$588
14 days−$499
30 days−$234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 38¢ $92 $62 −$30 (-33%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 59¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$8 +25%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $51 −$40 -80%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $23 −$22 -93%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $96 −$83 -86%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $101 +$30 +30%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $43 −$31 -72%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $23 +$19 +82%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $55 +$28 +52%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $66 +$53 +80%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $48 +$37 +76%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$7 +74%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $11 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $16 +$7 +46%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $13 +$3 +24%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 08 $12 +$23 +188%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $7 +$5 +74%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $37 +$28 +74%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $84 +$32 +38%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $50 +$22 +43%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $59 +$37 +62%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $34 +$26 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +65%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $109 +$20 +19%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $51 +$58 +114%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $53 +$40 +76%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $84 −$7 -8%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $49 +$16 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$1,191
other 7% −$664
crypto 2% −$1,022
world 1% +$23
finance 1% −$130
politics 0% −$36
tech 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $63 36m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 28¢ $1 56m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 43¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $38 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 79¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 61¢ $101 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $131 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 58¢ $30 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $101 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 15¢ $12 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $43 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $43 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $23 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $83 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $55 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 21¢ $4 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $119 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $15 21h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY 24¢ $11 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 56¢ $2 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $1 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $3 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 22¢ $7 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $45 24h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 100¢ $85 24h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $39 28h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 56¢ $17 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $17 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -26.7% -33.7% 45% 45% -37.5%
≤30d 59 -8.5% -17.2% 53% 53% -17.7%
≤90d 178 -4.8% -13.8% 54% 51% -14.4%
all 689 -0.1% -9.6% 54% 52% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 52% -12.4%
10% -18.3% 49% -20.8%
15% -26.2% 43% -28.5%
20% -33.4% 34% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.59 · official $65.89 · 1893 history records