Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:07:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8A 0x8afa…495e crypto 1761 markets active 7h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (83 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$21 (+0%) realized +$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1739W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day83.1pace
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61
7 days−$55
14 days−$54
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 81% +$18
other 19% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (83 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 583 -3.1% -12.3% 96% 0% -12.6%
≤30d 1777 -0.7% -10.2% 98% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 1777 -0.7% -10.2% 98% 0% -10.2%
all 1777 -0.7% -10.2% 98% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 0% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1739 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1777 / 1761
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day83.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1777 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $3 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $3 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $3 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 8h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records