Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:14:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8ac7…bcae
crypto · 807 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$192 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$292 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$292
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses442 / 365
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)807 / 807
History coverage9d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day163.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 807 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$120
7 days−$429
14 days−$292
30 days−$292
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$7 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$8 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$288
other 0% −$4
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 763 -12.1% -20.5% 53% 38% -16.8%
≤30d 807 -7.1% -16.0% 55% 41% -14.3%
≤90d 807 -7.1% -16.0% 55% 41% -14.3%
all 807 -7.1% -16.0% 55% 41% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover163.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 41% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 39% -22.5%
15% -31.3% 35% -30.0%
20% -38.1% 32% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2211 history records