trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-55%) |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-32%) |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-67%) |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-75%) |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-94%) |
| Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 | Jun 14 | $2 | +$6 | +377% |
| Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his n | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +4.5% | -5.4% | 14% | 14% | -23.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +4.5% | -5.4% | 14% | 14% | -23.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +4.5% | -5.4% | 14% | 14% | -23.3% |
| all | 7 | +4.5% | -5.4% | 14% | 14% | -23.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.4% | 14% | -23.3% |
| 10% | -14.5% | 14% | -30.6% |
| 15% | -22.7% | 14% | -37.3% |
| 20% | -30.3% | 14% | -43.5% |