Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8ab4…ad1e
crypto · 404 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16,122 -54%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,130 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$16,130
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses183 / 521
Open positions1
Markets (closed)704 / 404
History coverage20d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day161.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 704 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25,798
7 days−$23,632
14 days−$22,235
30 days−$16,130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 0¢ 8¢ $0 $8 +$8 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $227 $0 −$227 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $163 −$163 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $248 −$248 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $227 −$227 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $127 −$127 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $194 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $193 −$193 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11,339
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-50.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 552 -71.3% -74.1% 12% 9% -71.6%
≤30d 704 -44.8% -50.1% 26% 23% -40.6%
≤90d 704 -44.8% -50.1% 26% 23% -40.6%
all 704 -44.8% -50.1% 26% 23% -40.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover161.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.1% 23% -40.6%
10% ← realistic here -54.9% 21% -46.2%
15% -59.2% 18% -51.4%
20% -63.2% 15% -56.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.40 · official $27.17 · 3500 history records