Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:49:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8aab…9244
crypto · 481 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$58 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses432 / 49
Open positions0
Markets (closed)481 / 481
History coverage47d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 481 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$13
14 days−$5
30 days+$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$3 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$2 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $29 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$4
other 6% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 23h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 26h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 26h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 26h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 228 +0.2% -9.3% 91% 28% -10.0%
≤30d 394 +1.2% -8.4% 91% 28% -8.2%
≤90d 481 +0.2% -9.3% 90% 25% -9.0%
all 481 +0.2% -9.3% 90% 25% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 25% -9.0%
10% -18.0% 6% -17.7%
15% -25.9% 1% -25.6%
20% -33.2% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1227 history records