trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +49% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | BUY No | 72¢ | $3 | 1h |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 28¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? | BUY Yes | 13¢ | $1 | 21h |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 93¢ | $1 | 21h |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 17¢ | $1 | 21h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 64¢ | $5 | 21h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 50% | 25% | -4.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 50% | 25% | -4.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 50% | 25% | -4.5% |
| all | 4 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 50% | 25% | -4.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.9% | 25% | -4.5% |
| 10% | -48.4% | 25% | -13.7% |
| 15% | -53.4% | 25% | -22.0% |
| 20% | -57.9% | 0% | -29.7% |