Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a8e…acf7
crypto · 615 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$145 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$145
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses292 / 323
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)615 / 615
History coverage221d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 615 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$10 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 23 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 23 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 23 $15 −$10 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 23 $16 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 23 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 23 $14 +$5 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 23 $7 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 23 $14 −$7 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 23 $14 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 23 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 23 $17 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 23 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 23 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 23 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 23 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 23 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 23 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 23 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 23 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 23 $7 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 23 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 23 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 23 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 23 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 23 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 23 $8 +$5 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 23 $7 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 23 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 23 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 23 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 23 $4 +$5 +120%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$141
other 6% +$3
sports 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $7 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 47% -25.1%
≤30d 225 -18.0% -25.8% 46% 41% -14.6%
≤90d 225 -18.0% -25.8% 46% 41% -14.6%
all 615 -8.1% -16.8% 47% 42% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.8% 42% -14.7%
10% -24.8% 35% -22.9%
15% -32.0% 32% -30.4%
20% -38.7% 22% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2201 history records