Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a8d…d9ea
crypto · 1669 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$71 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1331 / 338
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1669 / 1669
History coverage73d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day26.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1669 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$71
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 -7.6% -16.4% 71% 71% -17.0%
≤30d 911 -3.4% -12.6% 78% 61% -12.9%
≤90d 1669 -3.5% -12.7% 80% 44% -13.1%
all 1669 -3.5% -12.7% 80% 44% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 44% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 29% -21.4%
15% -28.7% 11% -29.0%
20% -35.7% 3% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records