Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a80…c54c
sports · 284 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,763 +29%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,331 · open +$509
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10,628
Realized+$3,331
Unrealized+$509
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses90 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$319
Open positions229
Markets (closed)111 / 284
History coverage22d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day154.7
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 229 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$764
7 days+$1,725
14 days+$3,263
30 days+$3,331
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No 80¢ 80¢ $662 $658 −$4 (-1%)
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $601 $607 +$6 (+1%)
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? No 77¢ 72¢ $520 $482 −$37 (-7%)
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? Yes 78¢ 77¢ $295 $293 −$2 (-1%)
Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 65.5 57¢ 66¢ $240 $277 +$37 (+16%)
Will the Chicago White Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 68¢ 62¢ $296 $269 −$27 (-9%)
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 46¢ 52¢ $229 $262 +$34 (+15%)
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes 11¢ 13¢ $217 $254 +$36 (+17%)
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 80¢ 82¢ $235 $242 +$7 (+3%)
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $230 $218 −$12 (-5%)
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $192 $197 +$5 (+3%)
Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 11¢ 19¢ $112 $190 +$78 (+70%)
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? Yes 62¢ 56¢ $209 $186 −$23 (-11%)
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $168 $181 +$13 (+8%)
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? No 82¢ 90¢ $162 $176 +$14 (+9%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $159 $168 +$9 (+6%)
Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No 68¢ 65¢ $160 $154 −$6 (-4%)
Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $146 $150 +$4 (+3%)
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 24¢ 28¢ $122 $142 +$20 (+17%)
Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 48¢ 71¢ $95 $142 +$46 (+49%)
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes 7¢ 9¢ $112 $141 +$29 (+26%)
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes 10¢ 9¢ $153 $133 −$20 (-13%)
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $121 $120 −$2 (-1%)
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $139 $118 −$22 (-16%)
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes 15¢ 23¢ $73 $115 +$42 (+57%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +92%
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Jun 12 $1 +$36 +3028%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? Jun 12 $420 +$19 +4%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Jun 12 $120 +$23 +19%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $230 +$325 +141%
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 NL Central title? Jun 12 $160 −$5 -3%
Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Jun 12 $191 −$2 -1%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $48 +$246 +515%
Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? Jun 11 $0 +$9 +8071%
Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regu Jun 11 $119 $0 +0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $6 +$2 +34%
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Jun 11 $283 +$23 +8%
Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Jun 11 $10 $0 -4%
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $40 +$120 +300%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $0 +$44 +10660%
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Jun 10 $477 −$77 -16%
Will the Baltimore Orioles clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Jun 10 $49 −$10 -21%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $10 $0 -3%
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Jun 10 $72 −$2 -2%
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $27 −$1 -5%
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Serie Jun 10 $15 +$26 +171%
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $29 −$1 -2%
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Jun 09 $278 +$58 +21%
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title Jun 09 $87 +$14 +17%
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? Jun 09 $41 +$1 +2%
Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Jun 08 $3 +$9 +307%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $13 +$51 +400%
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $86 +$117 +136%
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $27 +$113 +420%
Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB reg Jun 08 $0 $0 +46%
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular seaso Jun 08 $4 +$6 +171%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $9 +$2 +20%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $14 +$3 +20%
Will Tim Cook buy the Seattle Seahawks? Jun 07 $450 +$98 +22%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $12 +$4 +39%
NBA Finals: Wemby to Break Single-Game Finals Blocks Record? Jun 06 $45 $0 +1%
Will Nico Hoerner win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Jun 06 $6 +$1 +17%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $704 +$383 +54%
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 06 $584 +$86 +15%
Will the New York Yankees clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Jun 05 $3 +$1 +25%
Will Logan Henderson win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +121%
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $6 +$1 +12%
Will Aaron Judge record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB Jun 05 $36 +$2 +5%
Will Shohei Ohtani record the most intentional walks during the 2026 M Jun 05 $6 $0 -3%
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? Jun 05 $41 −$1 -2%
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Jun 05 $230 +$12 +5%
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? Jun 05 $131 +$60 +45%
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? Jun 05 $46 +$4 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% +$1,964
other 35% +$1,428
world 22% +$424
crypto 2% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 0m
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2m
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 2m
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 4m
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 9m
Will Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 ML SELL Yes 29¢ $7 12m
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 15m
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 18m
Will Cristopher Sánchez strike out the most batters during the 2026 ML BUY Yes 21¢ $49 29m
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 30m
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series? SELL Yes 21¢ $23 31m
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Serie SELL Yes 10¢ $3 38m
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 43m
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series? SELL Yes 21¢ $9 55m
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series? SELL Yes 21¢ $9 1h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $12 1h
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? BUY Yes 70¢ $4 1h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 1h
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? SELL Yes 2¢ $5 2h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $6 2h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 2h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 2h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 3h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 3h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 3h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+106.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +213.5% +183.7% 79% 62% +22.7%
≤30d 111 +128.1% +106.4% 81% 58% +14.9%
≤90d 111 +128.1% +106.4% 81% 58% +14.9%
all 111 +128.1% +106.4% 81% 58% +14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover154.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +106.4% 58% +14.9%
10% ← realistic here +86.7% 40% +3.9%
15% +68.6% 33% -6.1%
20% +52.1% 30% -15.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,627.61 · official $10,628.31 (match) · 3500 history records