Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a11…12d3
crypto · 211 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses131 / 80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)211 / 211
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day51.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$10 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$23 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $7 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $48 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -2.4% -11.7% 62% 62% -12.4%
≤30d 211 -2.4% -11.7% 62% 62% -12.4%
≤90d 211 -2.4% -11.7% 62% 62% -12.4%
all 211 -2.4% -11.7% 62% 62% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 62% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 60% -20.7%
15% -27.8% 57% -28.4%
20% -34.9% 39% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 379 history records