Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a0f…c9ad
sports · 284 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$154 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$103 · open −$52
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$103
Unrealized−$52
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses206 / 76
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions2
Markets (closed)282 / 284
History coverage44d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 282 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$48
14 days−$117
30 days−$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 96¢ 64¢ $96 $64 −$32 (-33%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 94¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -70%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $70 +$5 +7%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $40 +$8 +20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 +$15 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $40 +$9 +21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $209 −$35 -17%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $72 +$2 +3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $41 +$2 +5%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $46 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $40 +$2 +5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $150 +$3 +2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $42 +$3 +6%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $141 +$27 +19%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $20 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $100 +$5 +5%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $119 +$37 +31%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $70 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$2 +12%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $80 +$10 +13%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $111 −$26 -24%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $23 +$3 +15%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 09 $80 −$80 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $82 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$4 +21%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $58 +$8 +13%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$6 +56%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $87 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20 +$7 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $40 +$9 +23%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $48 +$2 +5%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $37 +$13 +34%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $34 +$3 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $41 +$8 +19%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $529 +$21 +4%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $77 +$7 +10%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $76 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$86
crypto 14% −$70
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 9¢ $1 38m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $7 49m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 83¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 53¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 80¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 29¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $75 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 96¢ $56 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $56 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 93¢ $70 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 91¢ $40 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 83¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 95¢ $40 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $48 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $55 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $49 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 94¢ $40 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $40 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 83¢ $40 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 82¢ $40 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $170 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 99¢ $168 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $74 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $43 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $46 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 8¢ $4 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 99¢ $46 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 97¢ $72 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 83¢ $40 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 95¢ $41 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -10.0% -18.6% 74% 36% -10.6%
≤30d 269 -10.7% -19.2% 73% 41% -10.7%
≤90d 282 -10.3% -18.8% 73% 41% -10.7%
all 282 -10.3% -18.8% 73% 41% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.8% 41% -10.7%
10% -26.6% 20% -19.2%
15% -33.7% 11% -27.0%
20% -40.2% 5% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.40 · official $64.40 (match) · 681 history records