Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:46:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a0d…6df6
crypto · 17 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$34 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$179 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$179
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses6 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day46.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$179
7 days−$179
14 days−$179
30 days−$179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $108 −$94 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$88 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $108 +$22 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $128 −$10 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $108 +$26 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$11 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +77%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$175
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $129 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $108 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $132 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-39.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -33.5% -39.8% 35% 35% -33.7%
≤30d 17 -33.5% -39.8% 35% 35% -33.7%
≤90d 17 -33.5% -39.8% 35% 35% -33.7%
all 17 -33.5% -39.8% 35% 35% -33.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.8% 35% -33.7%
10% ← realistic here -45.6% 24% -40.0%
15% -50.8% 12% -45.8%
20% -55.6% 12% -51.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 48 history records