Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:29:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
89 0x89f5…caeb crypto 3 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$919per market
Trades / day53.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% −$5
tech 18% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.5% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 3 -0.5% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 3 -0.5% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.9%
all 3 -0.5% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% ← realistic here -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
9.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$3 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$919
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $1,999 −$5 -0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 16 $507 −$5 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $251 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 32m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 33m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 33m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 33m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 33m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 35m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 35m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 38m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 47m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 47m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 47m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 49m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 49m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 51m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 51m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 53m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 53m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 54m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 54m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 54m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 56 history records