trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | No | 58¢ | 56¢ | $410 | $391 | −$19 (-5%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 38¢ | 44¢ | $220 | $261 | +$41 (+18%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Cavaliers | 30¢ | 0¢ | $62 | $0 | −$62 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Cavaliers | 24¢ | 0¢ | $55 | $0 | −$55 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $151 | +$5 | +3% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $55 | −$14 | -26% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $626 | $0 | +0% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? | Jun 12 | $118 | −$5 | -4% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $226 | −$60 | -27% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $409 | −$148 | -36% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $259 | +$20 | +8% |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | Jun 01 | $2 | −$1 | -47% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $22 | −$2 | -10% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $166 | −$156 | -94% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $199 | −$128 | -65% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $139 | −$129 | -93% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 09 | $227 | +$89 | +39% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $267 | +$12 | +4% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $163 | −$62 | -38% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $158 | −$59 | -37% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $80 | −$10 | -13% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $125 | +$14 | +12% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 03 | $161 | +$20 | +12% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $188 | −$12 | -6% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $130 | +$51 | +39% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 50% | 0% | -15.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 33% | 0% | -29.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 41% | 18% | -23.6% |
| all | 22 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 41% | 18% | -23.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.1% | 18% | -23.6% |
| 10% | -36.8% | 9% | -30.9% |
| 15% | -42.9% | 9% | -37.6% |
| 20% | -48.5% | 0% | -43.7% |