Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:41:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89d9…8ba0
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -58%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-61.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -57.2% -61.3% 20% 20% -63.0%
≤30d 5 -57.2% -61.3% 20% 20% -63.0%
≤90d 5 -57.2% -61.3% 20% 20% -63.0%
all 5 -57.2% -61.3% 20% 20% -63.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -61.3% 20% -63.0%
10% -65.0% 20% -66.6%
15% -68.4% 0% -69.8%
20% -71.5% 0% -72.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records