Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89d6…c3c5
sports · 623 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$325 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$315 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$344
Realized+$315
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses543 / 68
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Est. fees paid−$70
Open positions12
Markets (closed)611 / 623
History coverage56d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 12 History 611 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days−$58
14 days+$50
30 days+$230
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? No 83¢ 94¢ $94 $105 +$11 (+12%)
WTT - Women's Singles: Miwa Harimoto vs Satsuki Odo Harimoto 98¢ 100¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Las Vegas Aces 90¢ 100¢ $25 $28 +$3 (+11%)
Will De'Aaron Fox score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals? No 94¢ 55¢ $20 $12 −$8 (-41%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Kawhi Leonard attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? No 96¢ 82¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-15%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) Minnesota Lynx 73¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+37%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 76¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+32%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 74¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 75¢ 86¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? No 96¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5 Under 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Ma Yexin Ma 80¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm Arthur Rinderknech 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Istanbul: Lina Gjorcheska vs Xinran Sun Lina Gjorcheska 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Wuxi: Fajing Sun vs Rio Noguchi Fajing Sun 96¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5 Under 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Over 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Xtreme Gaming 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Simona Waltert Yue Yuan 95¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy Taylor Fritz 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina Elena Rybakina 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire New York Liberty 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 124.5 Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Jun 14 $110 +$4 +4%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Mimi Xu vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 13 $100 +$5 +5%
WTT - Women's Singles: Miwa Harimoto vs Hitomi Sato Jun 13 $60 +$1 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar Jun 13 $120 +$3 +2%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $25 +$6 +23%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
WTT - Women's Singles: Sofia Polcanova vs Hitomi Sato Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $960 +$3 +0%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $300 +$7 +2%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $200 +$4 +2%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $200 +$6 +3%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $811 +$39 +5%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $210 −$6 -3%
1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 11 $100 +$3 +3%
1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5) Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 11 $100 +$1 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $200 −$200 -100%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $120 +$1 +1%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $30 +$2 +5%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $100 +$3 +3%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Xiaodi You: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $20 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $120 +$6 +5%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Set 1 Winner: Gao vs Bronzetti Jun 09 $20 +$1 +3%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $200 +$2 +1%
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 through 4 games? Jun 09 $20 +$2 +8%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 09 $10 +$1 +11%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $506 +$26 +5%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 09 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$289
other 2% +$37
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 95¢ $20 17m
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 73¢ $5 24m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 74¢ $5 29m
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 98¢ $100 43m
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 BUY Under 98¢ $15 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 124.5 BUY Under 99¢ $10 1h
1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5) BUY Spurs 97¢ $20 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 81¢ $10 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 98¢ $10 10h
WTT - Women's Singles: Miwa Harimoto vs Satsuki Odo BUY Harimoto 98¢ $100 10h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 97¢ $20 11h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 11h
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 98¢ $20 13h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 98¢ $10 13h
Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova BUY Raducanu 99¢ $5 14h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Katerina Siniakova 75¢ $5 14h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Mimi Xu vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 95¢ $100 14h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Daniil Medvedev 94¢ $10 14h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 98¢ $100 14h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 96¢ $20 15h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 88¢ $5 16h
WTT - Women's Singles: Miwa Harimoto vs Hitomi Sato BUY Harimoto 99¢ $60 17h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 94¢ $5 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 75¢ $3 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 25h
WTT - Women's Singles: Sofia Polcanova vs Hitomi Sato BUY Sato 99¢ $50 34h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 98¢ $100 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -2.5% -11.8% 90% 14% -10.2%
≤30d 332 -1.1% -10.5% 90% 23% -8.9%
≤90d 611 -1.9% -11.2% 89% 22% -8.9%
all 611 -1.9% -11.2% 89% 22% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 22% -8.9%
10% -19.7% 9% -17.6%
15% -27.5% 3% -25.6%
20% -34.6% 1% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $344.47 · official $344.47 (match) · 1482 history records