Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89ce…003b
crypto · 2205 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$228 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$228 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$228
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses307 / 833
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1140 / 2205
History coverage31d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day103.0
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$115
7 days+$362
14 days+$402
30 days+$289
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$72 -780%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$73 +809%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$8 +223%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$421
other 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $9 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-29.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 245 +18.7% +7.4% 50% 50% +30.5%
≤30d 1109 -22.8% -30.2% 26% 25% +6.5%
≤90d 1140 -22.4% -29.8% 27% 25% +0.0%
all 1140 -22.4% -29.8% 27% 25% +0.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover103.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.8% 25% +0.0%
10% ← realistic here -36.5% 23% -9.6%
15% -42.6% 21% -18.3%
20% -48.3% 18% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records