trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +175.6% | +149.3% | 80% | 80% | +24.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +90.8% | +72.6% | 62% | 50% | -19.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +90.8% | +72.6% | 62% | 50% | -19.7% |
| all | 26 | +30.2% | +17.8% | 54% | 42% | -12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +17.8% | 42% | -12.4% |
| 10% | +6.5% | 27% | -20.8% |
| 15% | -3.8% | 23% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -13.2% | 19% | -35.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $110 | $109 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $7 | +$56 | +786% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $111 | +$53 | +48% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $24 | +$18 | +73% |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $56 | −$55 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | +$4 | +71% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? | Jun 10 | $200 | −$117 | -58% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 09 | $474 | +$31 | +6% |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th | Mar 14 | $200 | −$2 | -1% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 14 | $200 | +$41 | +21% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | Mar 10 | $260 | −$145 | -56% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | Mar 08 | $1,160 | −$23 | -2% |
| Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026? | Mar 08 | $50 | −$39 | -78% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? | Mar 08 | $100 | +$67 | +67% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Mar 07 | $100 | −$48 | -48% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? | Mar 07 | $100 | +$163 | +163% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4? | Mar 04 | $600 | +$97 | +16% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4? | Mar 04 | $661 | −$73 | -11% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 3? | Mar 03 | $715 | −$326 | -46% |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | Mar 02 | $25 | −$10 | -38% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1? | Mar 02 | $192 | +$34 | +18% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1? | Mar 01 | $50 | +$11 | +23% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Feb 28 | $600 | −$3 | -0% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $187 | +$5 | +2% |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Feb 28 | $400 | +$75 | +19% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $600 | +$52 | +9% |