Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:00:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89b7…fd93
sports · 284 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$223 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$132 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$76
Realized+$132
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses125 / 155
Est. fees paid−$65
Open positions4
Markets (closed)280 / 284
History coverage15d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day42.0
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 280 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$33
14 days+$115
30 days+$132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Kamil Majchrzak 28¢ 100¢ $7 $25 +$18 (+257%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 31¢ 29¢ $22 $20 −$1 (-6%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Yes 40¢ 39¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-2%)
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-14? Yes 46¢ 35¢ $13 $10 −$3 (-24%)
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) 9z 25¢ 4¢ $23 $4 −$19 (-82%)
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu Jacob Fearnley 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis Felix Balshaw 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Taylah Preston 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $7 +$18 +252%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 +$12 +117%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $20 +$30 +152%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $10 +$6 +59%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $55 +$50 +90%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $20 +$23 +112%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 13 $10 +$9 +89%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 13 $25 +$25 +100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $20 +$21 +105%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $41 +$78 +189%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Jun 13 $5 +$2 +50%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $8 +$9 +105%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $10 +$10 +104%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $15 +$14 +93%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $15 +$21 +141%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $15 +$22 +150%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $33 +$40 +120%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $15 +$19 +127%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$180
other 4% −$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pit BUY Yes 39¢ $5 30m
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 28¢ $7 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Felix Balshaw 25¢ $6 1h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pit BUY Yes 40¢ $12 1h
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $13 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Jacob Fearnley 28¢ $5 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 12¢ $5 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Felix Balshaw 25¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Felix Balshaw 25¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 30¢ $10 9h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $16 9h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $16 9h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 34¢ $5 9h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 10h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 42¢ $15 10h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 46¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 46¢ $4 12h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 23¢ $5 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 53¢ $13 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 53¢ $18 12h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 63¢ $10 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 54¢ $10 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 53¢ $8 12h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 8¢ $5 14h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 12¢ $0 14h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 12¢ $5 14h
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY 9z 25¢ $8 14h
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY 9z 24¢ $10 14h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 21¢ $0 14h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 21¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -4.4% -13.5% 43% 43% -8.2%
≤30d 280 -1.2% -10.6% 45% 44% -6.4%
≤90d 280 -1.2% -10.6% 45% 44% -6.4%
all 280 -1.2% -10.6% 45% 44% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 44% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 44% -15.3%
15% -26.9% 43% -23.5%
20% -34.1% 42% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $76.13 · official $76.56 (match) · 883 history records