Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:25:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89b4…f9cb
crypto · 1139 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$58 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses935 / 204
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1139 / 1139
History coverage41d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day48.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$10
14 days−$19
30 days−$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -5.6% -14.6% 75% 28% -11.9%
≤30d 792 -6.5% -15.4% 77% 28% -15.5%
≤90d 1139 -1.7% -11.0% 82% 30% -11.0%
all 1139 -1.7% -11.0% 82% 30% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 30% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 9% -19.5%
15% -27.3% 4% -27.3%
20% -34.4% 1% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records