Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89b4…4f46
crypto · 806 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$64 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$64
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses629 / 177
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)806 / 806
History coverage120d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 806 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$522
14 days−$488
30 days−$488
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$100
sports 13% +$42
world 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 500 -10.9% -19.4% 78% 42% -27.2%
≤30d 569 -8.2% -17.0% 80% 42% -24.2%
≤90d 764 -1.9% -11.3% 78% 45% -12.4%
all 806 -0.5% -10.0% 78% 46% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 46% -11.1%
10% -18.6% 21% -19.6%
15% -26.4% 11% -27.4%
20% -33.7% 8% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1687 history records