Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89a6…3195
crypto · 177 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13,107 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,693 · open −$413
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$287
Realized−$12,693
Unrealized−$413
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses95 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)319 / 177
Avg bet$407
Trades / day2318.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 319 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,693
7 days−$12,693
14 days−$12,693
30 days−$12,693
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $202 +$202 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 0¢ 4¢ $0 $85 +$85 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $609 $0 −$609 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $534 $0 −$534 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $453 $0 −$453 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $503 $0 −$503 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $414 $0 −$414 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $305 $0 −$305 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $325 −$325 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $334 −$334 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $320 −$320 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $184 −$184 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $242 −$242 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $192 −$192 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$447
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $207 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $38 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $207 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $516 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $52 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $207 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $52 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $52 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $64 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $212 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $0 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $53 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $218 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $111 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $303 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $20 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $268 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-47.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 319 -41.5% -47.1% 30% 30% -23.3%
≤30d 319 -41.5% -47.1% 30% 30% -23.3%
≤90d 319 -41.5% -47.1% 30% 30% -23.3%
all 319 -41.5% -47.1% 30% 30% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2318.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -47.1% 30% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -52.1% 30% -30.6%
15% -56.8% 30% -37.3%
20% -61.0% 30% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $286.76 · official $1,237.45 · 3500 history records