Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89a0…0d09
crypto · 68 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$5 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$18
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses42 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)59 / 68
History coverage5d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day25.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 9 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$18
14 days+$18
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-43%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? No 85¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? No 89¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 83¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 16¢ 1¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-94%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-65%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? Yes 15¢ 3¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-83%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 12? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$5 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$13 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$17
politics 2% −$13
sports 0% $0
other 0% $0
finance 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +9.5% -0.9% 71% 51% -7.2%
≤30d 59 +9.5% -0.9% 71% 51% -7.2%
≤90d 59 +9.5% -0.9% 71% 51% -7.2%
all 59 +9.5% -0.9% 71% 51% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.9% 51% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -10.4% 39% -16.1%
15% -19.0% 32% -24.2%
20% -27.0% 20% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.64 · official $6.64 (match) · 195 history records