Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8997…69fa
crypto · 452 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$83 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$94 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$264
Realized+$94
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses192 / 193
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions67
Markets (closed)385 / 452
History coverage118d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day24.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 67 History 385 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$62
7 days−$59
14 days+$212
30 days+$206
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? No 25¢ 75¢ $18 $55 +$37 (+202%)
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No 40¢ 35¢ $26 $23 −$3 (-13%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 79¢ 83¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+6%)
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? No 59¢ 71¢ $11 $13 +$2 (+20%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Yes 6¢ 3¢ $21 $11 −$10 (-48%)
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in June? No 98¢ 98¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? No 81¢ 86¢ $8 $8 +$1 (+7%)
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No 14¢ 17¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Will Solana dip to $30 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 73¢ 72¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Yes 12¢ 6¢ $8 $4 −$4 (-46%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 26¢ 32¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+27%)
Will Solana dip to $20 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 88¢ 88¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Solana reach $130 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? No 79¢ 97¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+23%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 77¢ 88¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 95¢ 97¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 19? No 39¢ 58¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+50%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 64¢ 22¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-67%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 74¢ 99¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+34%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 31¢ 16¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-47%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 95¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $5 $3 −$3 (-51%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -89%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -92%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $12 +$1 +11%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12? Jun 12 $19 +$2 +11%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $7 −$6 -83%
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary el Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 10 $4 −$1 -22%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June? Jun 08 $7 +$3 +45%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +51%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 06 $6 +$2 +38%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 5? Jun 05 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $1 $0 +23%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5? Jun 05 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $10 +$1 +6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 5? Jun 05 $9 +$2 +19%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 5? Jun 05 $17 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $20 +$35 +174%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $6 +$4 +64%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 5? Jun 05 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $3 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $3 +$2 +64%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $6 $0 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? Jun 05 $13 −$1 -4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? Jun 05 $9 +$28 +299%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $20 +$92 +457%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$87
world 9% +$83
other 5% +$80
economics 1% −$3
politics 1% +$7
sports 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 39¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 39¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 39¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 39¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 39¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 39¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 39¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 39¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 44¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 44¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 41¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 41¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 42¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 42¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 44¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 21¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 70¢ $6 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 6h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 68¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -36.5% -42.5% 50% 19% -44.0%
≤30d 87 +16.0% +5.0% 56% 24% +35.1%
≤90d 234 -15.6% -23.6% 51% 17% -4.6%
all 385 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 22% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 22% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 16% -13.6%
15% -30.1% 13% -21.9%
20% -37.0% 11% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $264.32 · official $263.32 (match) · 3500 history records