Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:16:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8960…3234
other · 243 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$83 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses13 / 229
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)242 / 243
History coverage124d
Avg bet$191
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$18
14 days−$24
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 99¢ 99¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $834 −$2 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $263 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $272 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $582 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $432 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $340 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $208 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $381 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 12 $432 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $626 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $480 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $65 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $151 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $390 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $267 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 10 $566 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $250 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $261 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $311 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $100 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $551 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $407 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $250 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $268 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $346 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $188 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $313 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $118 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $94 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $162 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $216 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $299 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $263 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 05 $255 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $197 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $108 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $170 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $52 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $186 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $387 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $226 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $288 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $54 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $194 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $322 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $140 +$1 +1%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $128 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? May 30 $288 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$35
sports 24% −$19
politics 8% −$6
crypto 7% −$6
economics 6% −$9
culture 6% −$5
world 4% −$2
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $42 26m
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $46 1h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $46 3h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 4h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $47 9h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 10h
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $47 12h
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $47 14h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $47 15h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $47 16h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $47 18h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $47 20h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $47 21h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $47 22h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $47 24h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $47 25h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $10 28h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $10 30h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $47 31h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $47 32h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 98¢ $47 37h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 98¢ $48 39h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $48 44h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $48 46h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $48 2d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $48 2d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $48 2d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $48 2d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $48 2d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $48 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 76 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 187 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 242 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.44 · official $4.44 (match) · 1303 history records