Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:01:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x895d…11d5
sports · 128 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$18,782 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21,787 · open +$3,005
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,805
Realized−$21,787
Unrealized+$3,005
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses69 / 57
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$3,503
Open positions2
Markets (closed)126 / 128
History coverage48d
Avg bet$2,291
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,515
7 days−$20,121
14 days−$23,740
30 days−$28,717
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 53¢ 100¢ $1,800 $3,378 +$1,578 (+88%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner EDward Gaming 41¢ 100¢ $1,000 $2,427 +$1,427 (+143%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Timberwolves 55¢ 0¢ $1,961 $0 −$1,961 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $742 $0 −$742 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 38¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 48¢ 0¢ $1,407 $0 −$1,407 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 80¢ 0¢ $2,500 $0 −$2,500 (-100%)
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 48¢ 0¢ $2,643 $0 −$2,643 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 65¢ 0¢ $1,352 $0 −$1,352 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner TYLOO 34¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 70¢ 0¢ $3,100 $0 −$3,100 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $1,084 $0 −$1,084 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $2,358 $0 −$2,358 (-100%)
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Anyones Legend 70¢ 0¢ $2,046 $0 −$2,046 (-100%)
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-01? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 76¢ 0¢ $2,992 $0 −$2,992 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 65¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) T1 69¢ 0¢ $2,300 $0 −$2,300 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 0¢ $5,569 $0 −$5,569 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 71¢ 0¢ $2,400 $0 −$2,400 (-100%)
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner NRG 55¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $797 $0 −$797 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 55¢ 0¢ $4,800 $0 −$4,800 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2,869 +$2,108 +74%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1,981 −$1,954 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2,386 −$2,358 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $3,022 −$2,998 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,990 −$1,962 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5,650 −$5,569 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,138 +$1,218 +57%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,939 −$1,796 -93%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2,515 −$2,500 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4,979 −$534 -11%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $3,128 −$3,100 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $2,021 −$2,000 -99%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $2,000 +$904 +45%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5,399 +$1,839 +34%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3,013 +$2,387 +79%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,569 −$1,541 -98%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,001 +$570 +57%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,520 −$1,500 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,532 +$988 +64%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,013 −$1,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,516 −$1,500 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2,021 −$2,000 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $4,839 +$1,242 +26%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $2,490 +$936 +38%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $1,096 −$1,084 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 03 $588 −$483 -82%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $607 +$376 +62%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) Jun 03 $719 +$485 +67%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 01 $2,065 −$2,046 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 01 $1,115 +$920 +82%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $1,217 −$1,105 -91%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 31 $1,707 +$269 +16%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $2,018 −$2,000 -99%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5 May 31 $969 +$832 +86%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $4,865 −$4,800 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $3,447 +$2,849 +83%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $2,733 +$2,170 +79%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) May 30 $1,663 +$1,073 +64%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 May 29 $1,014 +$920 +91%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $4,387 −$3,364 -77%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $6,476 +$2,324 +36%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $1,518 +$1,024 +67%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $5,261 +$3,264 +62%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $3,799 +$2,458 +65%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $4,628 +$1,122 +24%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $2,532 +$2,093 +83%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 24 $1,906 +$1,707 +90%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) May 23 $1,004 +$862 +86%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $15 +$28 +180%
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5 May 23 $708 −$700 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$16,319
other 3% −$2,463
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 41¢ $1,018 33m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $1,825 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $4,828 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $149 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 57¢ $2,869 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 55¢ $507 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 55¢ $1,474 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 60¢ $2,386 14h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 17¢ $2 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 76¢ $3,022 24h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $1,990 27h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $302 32h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $1,997 33h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $3,351 36h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $2,138 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL FUT Esports 3¢ $143 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $1,939 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 80¢ $2,515 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 42¢ $4,444 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $4,979 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 70¢ $3,128 2d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY NRG 65¢ $2,021 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Legacy 100¢ $2,025 3d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY XLG Gaming 68¢ $2,000 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 74¢ $5,399 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Monte 100¢ $5,400 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 55¢ $3,013 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 1¢ $28 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $1,569 4d
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY NRG 63¢ $1,001 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -38.7% -44.5% 38% 38% -38.8%
≤30d 87 -3.4% -12.6% 55% 53% -20.1%
≤90d 126 -6.2% -15.1% 55% 53% -15.1%
all 126 -6.2% -15.1% 55% 53% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 53% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 48% -23.2%
15% -30.6% 44% -30.6%
20% -37.4% 33% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,805.07 · official $5,805.07 (match) · 288 history records