Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:16:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
89 0x895a…7067 crypto 1999 markets active 14h ago coverage 45d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 45d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2,535 (-6%) realized −$2,535 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR71%break-even
Win rate71%1438W / 590L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day44.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$860
7 days−$815
14 days−$679
30 days−$574
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,338
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 241 -55.5% -59.7% 34% 34% -64.4%
≤30d 1048 -7.7% -16.5% 65% 65% -20.5%
≤90d 2028 -5.7% -14.7% 71% 71% -13.8%
all 2028 -5.7% -14.7% 71% 71% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 71% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 45% -22.1%
15% -30.3% 19% -29.6%
20% -37.1% 12% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$19 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,535
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1438 / 590
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2028 / 1999
History coverage45d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day44.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2028 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 2PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 3PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 11PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 5PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $13 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 36h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $13 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $13 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $13 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $13 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $13 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records