Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8937…f33e
crypto · 170 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$38 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$159
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses160 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)162 / 170
History coverage7d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 8 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$34
14 days+$34
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 93¢ 100¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? No 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%? No 97¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+3%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? No 98¢ 95¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$2 +12%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$50
politics 7% +$3
finance 5% −$17
other 1% +$1
sports 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 3h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $15 8h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 8h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $20 8h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 93¢ $14 8h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $15 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 +1.8% -7.9% 99% 3% -8.1%
≤30d 162 +1.8% -7.9% 99% 3% -8.1%
≤90d 162 +1.8% -7.9% 99% 3% -8.1%
all 162 +1.8% -7.9% 99% 3% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 3% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 0% -16.9%
15% -24.8% 0% -25.0%
20% -32.1% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $159.46 · official $159.46 (match) · 332 history records