trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 07 | $1 | +$1 | +62% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 07 | $3 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-03? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03? | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Jun 01 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 01 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +24.8% | +12.9% | 100% | 100% | +11.8% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -12.6% | -21.0% | 70% | 70% | -18.5% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -12.6% | -21.0% | 70% | 70% | -18.5% |
| all | 20 | -12.6% | -21.0% | 70% | 70% | -18.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.0% | 70% | -18.5% |
| 10% | -28.5% | 30% | -26.3% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 10% | -33.5% |
| 20% | -41.8% | 5% | -40.0% |