trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 21 | +12.8% | +2.1% | 38% | 38% | -29.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.1% | 38% | -29.6% |
| 10% | -7.7% | 33% | -36.3% |
| 15% | -16.6% | 29% | -42.5% |
| 20% | -24.8% | 10% | -48.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 13¢ | $30 | $26 | −$4 (-12%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+15%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? | Feb 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is Y | Dec 25 | $20 | +$47 | +237% |
| Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend? | Nov 26 | $131 | −$131 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | Nov 26 | $237 | −$58 | -24% |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy? | Nov 26 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will 'Wicked' gross between $95-105m opening weekend? | Nov 26 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend? | Nov 25 | $10 | +$89 | +886% |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year? | Nov 23 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals? | Nov 17 | $17 | +$8 | +48% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday? | Nov 16 | $65 | −$14 | -21% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals? | Nov 16 | $73 | +$10 | +14% |
| Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving? | Nov 09 | $48 | +$21 | +43% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the Mexico City Grand Prix? | Nov 07 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the Mexico City Grand Prix? | Nov 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Lando Norris win the Mexico City Grand Prix? | Nov 07 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend? | Oct 28 | $35 | +$14 | +41% |
| Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $53-61m opening weekend? | Oct 27 | $46 | −$31 | -69% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix? | Oct 26 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Lando Norris win the United States Grand Prix? | Oct 25 | $54 | −$36 | -66% |
| Will 'Smile 2' gross $21-24m opening weekend? | Oct 25 | $30 | +$10 | +33% |
| Will 'Smile 2' gross less than $21m opening weekend? | Oct 19 | $26 | +$12 | +47% |