Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:40:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8927…1f52
crypto · 540 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,939 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,939 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,939
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses443 / 586
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1029 / 540
History coverage2d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day1288.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1029 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,961
7 days−$2,939
14 days−$2,939
30 days−$2,939
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$5 -124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-49.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1029 -44.5% -49.8% 43% 10% -21.8%
≤30d 1029 -44.5% -49.8% 43% 10% -21.8%
≤90d 1029 -44.5% -49.8% 43% 10% -21.8%
all 1029 -44.5% -49.8% 43% 10% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1288.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.8% 10% -21.8%
10% ← realistic here -54.6% 4% -29.3%
15% -59.0% 2% -36.1%
20% -63.0% 1% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records