Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x891a…7cc8
crypto · 491 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$1,949 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$429 · open −$297
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$429
Unrealized−$297
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses307 / 182
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$463
Open positions2
Markets (closed)489 / 491
History coverage41d
Avg bet$268
Trades / day25.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 489 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,914
7 days+$3,117
14 days+$1,707
30 days−$827
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 49¢ 0¢ $200 $2 −$198 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $100 $1 −$99 (-99%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 53¢ 0¢ $328 $0 −$328 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 46¢ 0¢ $773 $0 −$773 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 56¢ 0¢ $1,143 $0 −$1,143 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Gentle Mates 40¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $277 $0 −$277 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B 3DMAX 56¢ 0¢ $522 $0 −$522 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 53¢ 0¢ $456 $0 −$456 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $310 +$255 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$214 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $204 +$78 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $206 +$141 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $206 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $206 +$159 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $206 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$152 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $205 −$205 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $183 +$137 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $414 +$346 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $205 +$104 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $206 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $206 +$164 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$71 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$118 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$192 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $204 +$86 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$96 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $555 +$182 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $306 −$300 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$96 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $206 +$145 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$175 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $206 +$145 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $310 +$239 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $606 +$544 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $307 −$307 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $208 −$148 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $204 +$65 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $657 −$657 -100%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $500 −$494 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $750 −$742 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $598 +$153 +26%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $498 +$100 +20%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $180 −$177 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $797 +$181 +23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $626 +$170 +27%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $497 +$129 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $205 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $209 +$227 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$200 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% +$2,334
sports 39% −$1,773
other 1% −$429
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $104 5m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 49¢ $203 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $565 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $104 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $103 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $104 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $102 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $102 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $760 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 279 -1.2% -10.6% 58% 57% -5.7%
≤30d 460 -1.8% -11.1% 62% 61% -10.1%
≤90d 489 -0.9% -10.4% 63% 62% -9.2%
all 489 -0.9% -10.4% 63% 62% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 62% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 56% -17.9%
15% -26.8% 42% -25.8%
20% -34.0% 26% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.27 · official $31.51 · 1364 history records