Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:02:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8913…ec96
crypto · 270 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$27 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$105
Realized+$32
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses143 / 111
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions16
Markets (closed)254 / 270
History coverage225d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 16 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days+$11
14 days−$97
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes 53¢ 53¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? Yes 46¢ 38¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-17%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? No 55¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan India 87¢ 74¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 65¢ 66¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Barbora Krejcikova 73¢ 74¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 61¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 69¢ 54¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-22%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 73¢ 52¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-29%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Zsombor Piros 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Yuta Shimizu 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Anastasia Potapova 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Liam Draxl Liam Draxl 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Hubert Hurkacz 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Athletics 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Chicago Cubs 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Christopher OConnell 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 +$7 +114%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 −$8 -26%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June? Jun 12 $7 −$6 -87%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? Jun 12 $16 −$9 -58%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $3 −$1 -47%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $4 +$2 +51%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $3 +$1 +41%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $7 +$2 +30%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $2 $0 -17%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $11 −$5 -46%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $6 −$2 -31%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $2 −$1 -73%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 11 $4 −$2 -41%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $4 −$1 -34%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Jun 11 $8 −$3 -33%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -34%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $4 +$1 +17%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $4 +$2 +44%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $4 +$1 +17%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $4 +$1 +36%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $2 +$2 +76%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $3 +$3 +97%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $3 +$3 +114%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el Jun 10 $7 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 26% +$66
crypto 24% $0
sports 21% +$3
other 15% +$7
finance 7% −$32
politics 5% −$12
tech 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $6 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $7 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $3 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 73¢ $3 1h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 87¢ $5 1h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 100¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $6 11h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 55¢ $5 11h
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 11h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 69¢ $3 11h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 80¢ $5 11h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $3 11h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $11 12h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 87¢ $10 12h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 26¢ $11 12h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $4 13h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka SELL England 98¢ $10 14h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri SELL Francesco Forti 100¢ $6 14h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 73¢ $3 15h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 90¢ $5 15h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 99¢ $3 15h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 75¢ $2 15h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 83¢ $4 16h
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 16h
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? SELL Yes 18¢ $7 16h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Keegan Smith 39¢ $2 16h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris SELL Dane Sweeny 99¢ $6 16h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 65¢ $4 16h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY England 89¢ $5 16h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -3.4% -12.6% 63% 62% -7.7%
≤30d 201 -14.3% -22.5% 53% 48% -12.8%
≤90d 201 -14.3% -22.5% 53% 48% -12.8%
all 254 -5.8% -14.7% 56% 51% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 51% -7.8%
10% -22.9% 39% -16.6%
15% -30.3% 27% -24.7%
20% -37.2% 16% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $104.85 · official $104.85 (match) · 608 history records