trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +19.6% | +8.2% | 100% | 67% | +3.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 75% | 50% | +1.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +9.8% | -0.7% | 79% | 50% | +1.9% |
| all | 15 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 80% | 47% | +1.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.3% | 47% | +1.8% |
| 10% | -10.7% | 27% | -7.9% |
| 15% | -19.3% | 7% | -16.8% |
| 20% | -27.2% | 7% | -25.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $74 | $73 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $53 | $53 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $49 | $48 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $70 | +$17 | +25% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $94 | +$7 | +8% |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $12 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $27 | +$1 | +4% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Jun 05 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | -40% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | -23% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch? | May 08 | $4 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | Feb 26 | $2 | $0 | +0% |