Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:16:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x890f…7191
crypto · 98 markets active 1h ago
8.0score
+$1,800 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,800 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,800
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses41 / 57
Open positions0
Markets (closed)98 / 98
History coverage78d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$704
7 days+$691
14 days+$637
30 days+$637
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $395 $0 −$395 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $429 $0 −$429 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $483 $0 −$483 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $499 $0 −$499 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$52 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$30 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$17 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $251 −$240 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $467 −$450 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $312 −$300 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$106 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $220 +$473 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $412 −$395 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $262 −$250 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $212 +$354 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$89 +207%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $105 +$188 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $307 +$176 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $368 +$1,159 +314%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $145 +$541 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $237 −$237 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $72 +$62 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $104 +$146 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $525 −$499 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $506 −$483 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $209 +$337 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $447 −$429 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $53 −$50 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $347 +$951 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$10 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $182 −$173 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$29 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $47 +$173 +364%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $30 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $81 −$77 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$66 +1241%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $36 −$34 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$15 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $87 −$82 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $125 −$120 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $127 −$120 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 08 $26 +$93 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 08 $16 +$67 +425%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 08 $55 −$39 -71%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $56 −$54 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Apr 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Apr 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$2,184
world 2% −$215
tech 1% −$100
politics 0% −$49
other 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +55.9% +41.0% 43% 43% -0.2%
≤30d 48 +52.6% +38.1% 42% 42% -1.0%
≤90d 98 +28.6% +16.4% 42% 42% +6.7%
all 98 +28.6% +16.4% 42% 42% +6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.4% 42% +6.7%
10% +5.3% 42% -3.5%
15% -4.9% 41% -12.8%
20% -14.2% 41% -21.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 354 history records