trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +58.0% | +42.9% | 50% | 25% | +90.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +58.0% | +42.9% | 50% | 25% | +90.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -21.0% | -28.5% | 25% | 12% | +8.6% |
| all | 9 | -29.8% | -36.5% | 22% | 11% | -14.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.5% | 11% | -14.1% |
| 10% | -42.6% | 11% | -22.3% |
| 15% | -48.1% | 11% | -29.8% |
| 20% | -53.2% | 11% | -36.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17? | Yes | 23¢ | 12¢ | $100 | $53 | −$47 (-47%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 17? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-19%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $105 | −$24 | -23% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Jun 17 | $240 | +$25 | +10% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $199 | −$187 | -94% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 15? | Jun 15 | $332 | +$1,144 | +345% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17? | May 14 | $100 | −$94 | -94% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 18? | May 14 | $195 | −$183 | -94% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 27? | Apr 26 | $398 | −$375 | -94% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 26? | Apr 25 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 6? | Nov 05 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |