trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 0% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 10% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 10% | 0% | -10.7% |
| all | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 39% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 19 | $75 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $37 | −$3 | -7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 19 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $40 | −$3 | -7% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 05 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Jul 04 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jul 04 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jul 04 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times June 27–July 4? | Jul 03 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025? | Jul 03 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $105K on July 4? | Jul 03 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Jun 26 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump pardon 1,000-1,249 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | Apr 16 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%? | Apr 15 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Apr 05 | $10 | $0 | +3% |